Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.003380 0.003771 0.004179 0.004635 0.005129 0.005649 0.006234
2024-10-20 0.002685 0.003223 0.003816 0.004515 0.005311 0.006187 0.007221
2024-10-27 0.002306 0.002923 0.003630 0.004495 0.005516 0.006675 0.008085
2024-11-03 0.002001 0.002660 0.003442 0.004430 0.005630 0.007031 0.008774
2024-11-10 0.001784 0.002475 0.003321 0.004419 0.005788 0.007420 0.009495
2024-11-17 0.001592 0.002299 0.003191 0.004378 0.005893 0.007735 0.010120
2024-11-24 0.001491 0.002229 0.003186 0.004486 0.006177 0.008269 0.011017
2024-12-01 0.001318 0.002048 0.003020 0.004372 0.006166 0.008426 0.011442
2024-12-08 0.001206 0.001941 0.002943 0.004366 0.006290 0.008749 0.012076
2024-12-15 0.001164 0.001928 0.002991 0.004526 0.006631 0.009357 0.013083
2024-12-22 0.001094 0.001869 0.002969 0.004586 0.006838 0.009790 0.013871
2024-12-29 0.001053 0.001847 0.002998 0.004717 0.007141 0.010353 0.014836
2025-01-05 0.001019 0.001837 0.003044 0.004875 0.007490 0.010993 0.015926
2025-01-12 0.000909 0.001700 0.002897 0.004748 0.007436 0.011087 0.016290
2025-01-19 0.000838 0.001619 0.002826 0.004727 0.007528 0.011378 0.016921
2025-01-26 0.000762 0.001523 0.002728 0.004659 0.007548 0.011566 0.017411
2025-02-02 0.000706 0.001457 0.002670 0.004648 0.007647 0.011863 0.018053
2025-02-09 0.000648 0.001382 0.002595 0.004606 0.007696 0.012089 0.018597
2025-02-16 0.000626 0.001370 0.002619 0.004718 0.007976 0.012647 0.019614
2025-02-23 0.000561 0.001274 0.002501 0.004599 0.007904 0.012695 0.019911
2025-03-02 0.000523 0.001224 0.002456 0.004593 0.008001 0.012990 0.020561
2025-03-09 0.000516 0.001235 0.002515 0.004759 0.008367 0.013681 0.021788
2025-03-16 0.000493 0.001212 0.002512 0.004822 0.008572 0.014139 0.022686